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Motorcycles in the Crossfire

2026 Fat Boy motorcycle

Motorcycles in the Crossfire

Riders, dealers and manufacturers keep paying the price for trade wars they didn’t start

By Florida Night Train

Oct 2026

Motorcyclists have enough things to worry about without becoming unwilling participants in international trade wars.

The price of a new motorcycle is already substantial. Add financing, insurance, maintenance, accessories and increasingly sophisticated electronics, and entering the sport….or simply replacing the bike sitting in your garage….is hardly inexpensive.

Now add tariffs.

Not because motorcycles suddenly pose a threat to national security. Not because riders caused an international trade dispute. And not necessarily because protecting domestic motorcycle manufacturing is even the objective.

Sometimes motorcycles simply make convenient political targets.

That is exactly what is happening again between the United States and Canada.

U.S.-Canadian border

Effective September 8, Canada imposed a staggering 50-percent counter-tariff on U.S.-origin internal-combustion motorcycles exceeding 800 cc. Ottawa says the measure is part of a broader dollar-for-dollar response to U.S. tariffs affecting C$27.6 billion worth of Canadian goods.[1] The explanation is straightforward enough: Washington imposed tariffs; Canada retaliated.

But examine what happens next and the economics become considerably less tidy.

A large American motorcycle crosses the Canadian border. The tariff is aimed at the United States, but the motorcycle is being imported, distributed, and sold in Canada. Somewhere between the manufacturer and the rider, that enormous additional cost has to be absorbed.

Maybe the manufacturer takes some of it. Perhaps the distributor sacrifices margin. A dealer may swallow part of it to save a sale. Inventory strategies can change. Consumers may switch brands, buy used or simply postpone the purchase.

But tariffs do not magically disappear.

And that is where Canada’s strategy becomes particularly difficult to reconcile with its stated objective of protecting Canadian economic interests.

Moto Canada, the national industry association, responded to the 50-percent tariff by warning that it could put additional pressure on Canadian businesses, workers and consumers. The powersports industry it represents supports approximately 900 Canadian dealerships and more than 88,000 jobs. Many of those dealers are locally owned Canadian businesses.[2]

In other words, Ottawa is attempting to punish American commerce partly by making an American product substantially more expensive for Canadians to sell to other Canadians. Canadian logic, I guess.

There is certainly an argument for retaliation. A country subjected to tariffs does not have to passively accept them. Trade leverage sometimes requires economic consequences.

But there should also be a proportionality test: Does the weapon actually hurt the intended target more than the people holding it? Motorcycles make that question particularly interesting.

A tariff on American heavyweight motorcycles may reduce some U.S. exports. Harley-Davidson, Indian Motorcycle, and their suppliers certainly have something to lose. But this is hardly an export category capable of bringing the American economy to its knees.

It can, however, matter greatly to the Canadian motorcycle dealer trying to keep a showroom moving. And now the escalation is traveling in the opposite direction. See my point here, Mr. Carney?

On September 8, the White House announced that certain Canadian-origin motorcycles exceeding 800 cc will be prohibited from importation into the United States beginning September 29, replacing an existing 50-percent additional duty on the covered products.[3] The administration says its measures respond to what it describes as discriminatory Canadian treatment of U.S. motor-vehicle commerce. Canada disputes the broader U.S. trade rationale and says its own measures are retaliatory.

So we have arrived at the predictable destination of retaliatory trade policy:

You tariff our motorcycles.

We tariff yours.

You retaliate.

We escalate.

Meanwhile, dealers, employees, manufacturers and riders on both sides of the border watch politicians turn motorcycles into bargaining chips.

Americans should resist the temptation to view this exclusively as Canadian foolishness, because sadly, the United States has plenty of history here as well.

In 1983, President Ronald Reagan imposed temporary protection on heavyweight motorcycles after the U.S. International Trade Commission determined that rising imports threatened the domestic industry. Motorcycles above 700 cc faced additional duties beginning at 45 percent, declining over subsequent years. The policy followed a petition from Harley-Davidson.[4] Harley later asked that the protection be terminated early after its position improved. Decades later, motorcycles again became collateral damage.

When the United States imposed tariffs on European steel and aluminum in 2018, the European Union retaliated against American motorcycles. Harley-Davidson reported that the European tariff on its U.S.-exported motorcycles increased from 6 percent to 31 percent, adding approximately $2,200 per average motorcycle. Rather than immediately passing that cost to riders and dealers, Harley said it would initially absorb it…estimating a $30 million to $45 million impact during the remainder of 2018.[5]

Different governments. Different disputes. Same motorcycle.

And the financial consequences are not theoretical today either.

Harley-Davidson told investors in July that it expects approximately $75 million to $90 million in costs from new or increased tariffs during 2026. The company had already incurred about $67 million during the first half of the year before recoveries, while simultaneously trying to improve dealer profitability and grow North American retail sales.[6]

That is money that cannot simply be wished away. Ultimately, trade costs influence some combination of corporate earnings, investment decisions, supply chains, dealer economics and consumer prices.

This is what gets lost whenever politicians describe tariffs as though the foreign country simply receives an invoice.

Trade policy does not work that neatly.

The Canadian government can argue……with justification…….that its motorcycle tariff did not emerge in a vacuum. It is responding to aggressive American trade measures. Washington can likewise argue that its actions respond to Canadian policies it considers discriminatory.

Both governments can produce documents explaining why the other side started it. Like parents on the brink of a divorce justifying their own sides.

None of that changes the view from the showroom. None of that changes how it affects the children.

A motorcycle sits there. A dealer needs to sell it.

Someone built it. Someone transported it. Someone finances it. Someone services it. And somewhere at the end of that chain is a rider deciding whether he can still afford it.

That is why Canada’s 50-percent motorcycle tariff deserves scrutiny beyond the usual political theater. If the objective is to defend Canadian businesses and workers, a policy that Canada’s own motorcycle industry warns may damage Canadian dealers, employees, and consumers deserves a serious cost-benefit examination.

And the same standard should apply in Washington.

Trade disputes are sometimes unavoidable. Retaliation may sometimes be strategically defensible. Protecting domestic industry can be a legitimate national objective.

But motorcycles should not automatically become ammunition simply because they carry recognizable flags on their gas tanks.

Motorcyclists did not start this trade war. Dealers did not negotiate it. Mechanics did not vote on tariff schedules.

Yet history keeps showing that when governments decide to take shots at each other economically, the motorcycle industry somehow winds up standing in the line of fire.

And eventually, whether the bill is denominated in American or Canadian dollars, someone walking into a motorcycle dealership ends up paying part of it.

Sources / footnotes:
  • Department of Finance Canada, August 2026 / official counter-tariff schedule establishing the 50% tariff on U.S.-origin internal-combustion motorcycles exceeding 800 cc and explaining the C$27.6 billion retaliation package.
  • Moto Canada, August 2026 / industry response warning of consequences for Canadian dealers, workers and consumers; approximately 900 dealerships and 88,000 jobs.
  • The White House, September 8, 2026, and Moto Canada, September 9 / U.S. proclamation providing for the September 29 import prohibition on covered Canadian motorcycles and industry response.
  • Ronald Reagan Presidential Library / 1983 heavyweight-motorcycle import-relief proclamation and 1987 early termination of the measure.
  • Harley-Davidson SEC filing, June 2018 / EU retaliatory tariff increased from 6% to 31%; Harley estimated approximately $2,200 additional tariff cost per average U.S.-exported motorcycle.
  • Harley-Davidson Q2 2026 Earnings Presentation, July 23, 2026 / expected full-year tariff costs of approximately $75–90 million; $45 million incurred in Q1 and $22 million in Q2 before stated recoveries.

Simon Bois--Florida Night Train@FloridaNightTrain / www.facebook.com/floridanighttrain